An important caveat to #2. Rising populations can only be leveraged into more power if they can be channeled into import substition. Countries where import substitution is suppressed can not gain power.
Import substition is a process where domestic industry develops by adopting the processes of overseas industries contributing to imports, so that the country can import the raw materials and make the product, instead of importing the full product at the market price. Most surveys of macroeconomics reveal that it is integral and foundational to the development of most industrialised countries today, e.g. China.
The exporter countries contain smart people who may seek to suppress this process to maintain revenue flows. This prevents the development from happening.
Two examples:
1: the 'unequal treaties' between 19th century Japan and America prohibited certain kinds of tariffs and subsidies by Japan. This allowed westerners, prominently Americans, to maintain market share in Japan by product dumping.
2: in 18th and 19th century India various British offices at different times had policies of having their sepoys arrest textile workers and maim them by the forcible amputation of both thumbs, to preserve the market share of British textiles.
Agreed. For a while, importing stuff “on the cheap” looks like a good deal, but overtime if that makes your own industries weak, you are just losing power.
You can't win by just buying stuff from someone else; it appears that people have a hard time understanding that nowadays.
Not only did they lose the popular vote, they lost it repeatedly. Although it was only a matter of degree at each step, Clinton was more isolationist than Bush and Dole. Bush was more isolationist than Gore and Kerry. Obama was more isolationist than McCain and Romney.
Trump was more isolationist than Clinton, Biden was more isolationist than first-term Trump and Trump beat Biden last year partially on the basis of becoming much more isolationist than his first term version, surpassing Biden.
We don't know much of it anymore with the decline of Europe, but for several centuries the dominant geopolitical goal of most countries on Earth was to defend themselves from European invasion. Why do you think every incremental ratchet step on the gear of Germany rearming in the last three years has been taken as serious headline news by so many?
> Why do you think every incremental ratchet step on the gear of Germany rearming in the last three years has been taken as serious headline news by so many?
Cause they started two world wars previously. The second one coupled with genocide, actually multiple separate genocides going on at the same time.
They started the first one too. They just did. Their politics was split roughly into two camps - war hawks wanting to start the war now and moderates wanting to wait for a year and then start a war.
It is not that other countries were full of saints ... but Germany did started both those wars.
It's the product of an evolutionary process. You could scrap capitalism entirely and still get cartel formation, since you have agents with varied traits competing to gain the resources to be selected to reproduce [their continued existence, into the future].
A couple other ways of looking at it come from Bataille, Odum, Prigogine or Schmitt.
I watched that show on netflix where the professional song writers would write potential hit songs.. that was the closest thing to human slop I've seen
This is my first time noticing one of their posts, but to me it evokes the ideals of the Long Now Foundation, putting our thoughts in a future-forward stance.
In the case of piling sand exactly in the centre, the intermediate states between the initial state and reaching the final equilibrium seem to get closer to having a circular boundary as the grid size increases, instead of the diamond-shaped boundary you might expect for a symmetrical object in a planar grid. Take a look at the largest resettable grid doing this within a couple seconds of being reset.
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