That pretty much depends on the craft. For writing, the tools come definitely far behind the writing. You can do great writing with pen and paper, people have done so for centuries.

You see the same pattern with amateur photographers, who think buying a nicer camera will get them better pictures.

Many good programmers do very well with old, free tools that have been time-tested and improved. You don't need Visual Studio Ultimate-mega-edition, though it will certainly make your life easier in some situations.